Blog

Blogs, essays, updates, and occasional notes that sit alongside The Butterfly Effect.

Members of the Ba'athist Military Committee celebrate the success of the March 8 coup, 1963

The Coup Nobody Noticed

Mar 8, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 8 March 1963, a handful of young Ba'athist officers seized Damascus in a coup so bloodless and unremarkable that the population greeted it with indifference. Nobody noticed. That was the problem.

Destroying Chinese war junks, by E. Duncan, 1843

Historical Justice, Such as It Is

Mar 7, 2026 By Andy Barca

Britain forced China to buy opium at gunpoint. Now China is the primary source of the chemicals that make fentanyl, which kills tens of thousands of Americans a year. The symmetry is not accidental, but it is not justice either.

Portrait of Ellen Turner by Henry Wyatt, 1829

The Matrimonial Entrepreneur

Mar 7, 2026 By Andy Barca

In 1826, a 30-year-old diplomat abducted a 15-year-old heiress with forged letters and a manufactured family crisis, married her at Gretna Green, and nearly got away with it. He served three years in prison. Then helped found New Zealand.

Portrait of Michelangelo by Daniele da Volterra, c. 1545

Il Divino

Mar 6, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 6 March 1475, Michelangelo di Lodovico Buonarroti Simoni was born in a small hill town in Tuscany. He went on to produce some of the most reproduced images in the history of Western civilisation, and died still working, at 88.

Official Soviet portrait of Joseph Stalin, 1950

The Death of Stalin

Mar 5, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 5 March 1953, Joseph Stalin died on the floor of his dacha, where he had lain unattended for the better part of a day. Nobody had dared go in to check.

Surviving section of the Kitay-gorod wall in Moscow

The Chinatown With No Chinese

Mar 5, 2026 By Andy Barca

In the centre of Moscow, just east of the Kremlin, there is a district whose name translates as China City. It has never had anything to do with China.

Emergency hospital during the influenza epidemic at Camp Funston, Kansas, 1918

The Familiar Killer

Mar 4, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 4 March 1918, an Army cook reported sick at Camp Funston, Kansas. By noon, a hundred soldiers had the same symptoms. Within two years, the Spanish flu would kill more people than the war that spread it.

Dammam No. 7 oil well in 1938

The Prosperity Well

Mar 3, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 3 March 1938, an American drilling crew in the Saudi desert struck oil at Dammam No. 7. The well produced 1,585 barrels on its first day. Eighty-eight years later, that single strike has reshaped the global economy, bankrolled a kingdom, and made the politics of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries unimaginable without it.

Tsar Alexander II reading the act of emancipation of the serfs in 1861, 19th century lithograph

The Tsar Liberator

Mar 3, 2026 By Andy Barca

On 3 March 1861, Alexander II freed twenty-three million Russian serfs. For his troubles, he was blown apart by a bomb twenty years later. The country he tried to modernise would soon tear itself to pieces.

Woman browsing books in a bookshop

A Room with Enough Shelves

Mar 2, 2026 By Andy Barca

E-books are convenient. Audiobooks are practical. But the paper book is what got me hooked — and what I hope will fill my shelves again one day